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Flood-LLM: An AI-Driven Framework for Property-Level Flood Risk Assessment Using Multi-Source Urban Data

Author

Listed:
  • Jing Jiang

    (School of Architecture and Planning, Faculty of Engineering and Design, The University of Auckland, Auckland 1010, New Zealand)

  • Yifei Wang

    (School of Computer Science, Faculty of Science, The University of Auckland, Auckland 1010, New Zealand)

  • Manfredo Manfredini

    (School of Architecture and Planning, Faculty of Engineering and Design, The University of Auckland, Auckland 1010, New Zealand)

Abstract

Flood risk maps play a critical role in land-use regulation, infrastructure planning, and community preparedness, which are key components of sustainable and climate-resilient urban development. Their production, however, remains costly, labor-intensive, and time-demanding as it relies on simulation-driven workflows that combine hydrodynamic modeling with expert interpretation and extensive validation. To address this issue from a sustainability perspective, we develop a novel, practical, and near-real-time large language model (LLM)-based framework to support property-level flood risk assessment. This framework, which synthesizes geospatial, hydrological, infrastructural, and historical flood information, extends existing research and explores novel risk estimation methods for use in planning practice. Using Brisbane, Australia, as a case study, we develop Flood-LLM, a multi-agent system that transforms multi-source urban datasets into structured textual representations, models diverse neighborhood conditions, and fine-tunes a reasoning model using expert-assessed risk classifications. The results show that Flood-LLM can reproduce official flood risk labels for creek, river, storm tide, and overland-flow hazards with reasonable accuracy, outperforming classical machine learning, deep learning, and untuned LLM baselines. Visual and quantitative analyses indicate that the framework demonstrates a qualitatively nuanced capability to capture salient spatial patterns present in the official maps, while generating a textual chain-of-thought providing a transparent audit trail for its labeling decisions. These findings suggest that such LLM-based approaches can produce potential complementary tools to expert-reviewed planning classifications and support more sustainable, adaptive flood risk management by enabling timely map production and updates that facilitate informed decision-making in rapidly changing environmental conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Jing Jiang & Yifei Wang & Manfredo Manfredini, 2026. "Flood-LLM: An AI-Driven Framework for Property-Level Flood Risk Assessment Using Multi-Source Urban Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 18(6), pages 1-32, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:18:y:2026:i:6:p:2957-:d:1896673
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