IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v18y2026i4p2148-d1869424.html

A Hybrid Machine Learning Framework for Multi-Pollutant Air Quality Assessment in Urban Environments

Author

Listed:
  • Muzzamil Mustafa

    (Department of Information Engineering, Computer Science and Mathematics, Univerita Degli Studi Dell’Aquila, 67100 L’Aquila, Italy)

  • Maaz Akhtar

    (Industrial Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh 11432, Saudi Arabia)

  • Ashfaq Ahmad

    (Department of Artificial Intelligence, University of Management and Technology, Lahore 54000, Pakistan)

  • Fahad Javaid

    (Department of Information and Works, Government College Women University Sialkot, Sialkot 51310, Pakistan)

  • Barun Haldar

    (Industrial Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU), Riyadh 11432, Saudi Arabia)

  • Badil Nisar

    (Saed Azka Limited Company, Al-Andalus District, Jeddah 23325, Saudi Arabia)

Abstract

Urban air quality assessment is central to environmental sustainability and public health management. This study presents a structured comparative evaluation of Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), LSTM, and Bi-LSTM models for pollutant-driven air quality classification under the Indian National Air Quality Index (NAQI) framework defined by CPCB guidelines. To provide a fair comparison, multi-pollutant data of Indian urban monitoring stations were preprocessed, and the class-balancing protocol and validation protocol were combined. RF had highest total accuracy (0.9971) in the held-out set, with Bi-LSTM (0.9615), LSTM (0.9495), and SVM (0.9442) coming next. Although ensemble methods proved to be very separable in line with the threshold-based NAQI structure, Bi-LSTM was more stable when it came to boundary-sensitive switches among the adjacent severity classes. Calibration analysis (multiclass Brier score: 0.08) showed consistent probabilistic behavior and interpretation, and using SHAP showed physically significant pollutant driving factors. The results explain the appropriateness of comparative models in organized AQI classification and present a reproducible assessment framework for the NAQI framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Muzzamil Mustafa & Maaz Akhtar & Ashfaq Ahmad & Fahad Javaid & Barun Haldar & Badil Nisar, 2026. "A Hybrid Machine Learning Framework for Multi-Pollutant Air Quality Assessment in Urban Environments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-24, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:18:y:2026:i:4:p:2148-:d:1869424
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/18/4/2148/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/18/4/2148/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:18:y:2026:i:4:p:2148-:d:1869424. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.