Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Intangible Cultural Heritage in the Tarim River Basin of China

River basins are not merely geographical spaces but also cultural-historical ecosystems, where the spatial patterns of Intangible Cultural Heritage (ICH) profoundly reflect the long-term interaction between human and environment, as well as contemporary transformations. While international research on ICH has evolved from conceptual clarification to interdisciplinary theory-building, and spatial quantitative methods have been widely applied to cultural heritage analysis, the spatial patterns, multi-scale structures, and “natural-human” driving mechanisms of ICH in continental arid river basins—particularly in the Tarim River Basin (TRB, China’s largest inland river and a key corridor of the Silk Road)—remain underexplored. To address this gap, this study takes 313 ICH items in the TRB as the research object. It uses ArcGIS 10.8.1 to visualize their spatial distribution and employs an integrated methodology—including global Moran’s I, kernel density estimation (KDE), DBSCAN spatial clustering, and geographical detector (Geodetector)—to systematically reveal their spatial characteristics and influencing factors. The findings indicate that: (1) The distribution of ICH exhibits a multi-scale feature of “global randomness with local clustering”: spatial autocorrelation is not significant at the county level, while at the micro-geographical scale, a dendritic structure characterized by “one axis, three cores, denser in the north and sparser in the south” emerges, which is highly coupled with the river network. DBSCAN clustering further identifies a “mainstem axis–tributary node” cluster system and a relatively high proportion of peripheral “noise” heritage points. (2) Agglomeration patterns vary significantly across different ICH categories, with traditional craftsmanship showing high clustering, while traditional sports, entertainment, and acrobatics display highly fragmented distributions. (3) The study reveals and validates a ternary “Water–Tourism–Urbanization” driving framework that predominantly shapes the spatial heterogeneity of ICH: water resources constitute a fundamental ecological threshold, whereas tourism development and urbanization have emerged as more explanatory social driving forces, with widespread nonlinear enhancement interactions between natural and human factors. This research moves beyond the traditional view of river basins as static cultural “containers,” providing empirical evidence for their dynamic nature as “cultural-ecological co-evolutionary systems.” The proposed ternary framework not only offers a new perspective for understanding the spatial resilience of ICH in arid regions and the potential risks of “spectacularization” and “spatial polarization” amid rapid changes, but also provides a scientific basis for spatial governance, culture-tourism integration, and the formulation of conservation strategies for ICH at the basin scale.