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An Integrated Robust Optimization and Simulation Framework for Sustainable and Resilient Automotive Supply Chain Management

Author

Listed:
  • Zahra Jafaripour

    (Institute for Energy Systems (IES), School of Engineering, The University of Edinburgh, Old College, South Bridge, Edinburgh EH8 9YL, UK)

  • Mehdi Davoodi

    (Information Systems & Decision Sciences Department, California State University, Fullerton, CA 92831, USA)

  • Seyed Mojtaba Sajadi

    (Operations and Service Management Department, Aston Business School, Aston University, Birmingham B4 7ET, UK)

  • Afarin Aghaee

    (Department of Industrial Management, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran 1417614411, Iran)

  • Mohammadreza Taghizadeh Yazdi

    (Department of Industrial Management, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran 1417614411, Iran)

Abstract

This study proposes an integrated decision-support framework that combines robust multi-objective optimization and discrete-event simulation to enhance sustainability and resilience in automotive supply chain management. Automotive supply chains are highly complex and exposed to significant uncertainty arising from demand fluctuations, supply disruptions, and procurement constraints, particularly in emerging economies. To address these challenges, the proposed framework incorporates mixed-integer programming with a multi-objective formulation to balance production, supply, holding, and penalty costs. Additionally, robust optimization based on the Bertsimas–Sim approach is employed to hedge against demand uncertainty. Additionally, a discrete-event simulation model is developed to validate and refine the optimization results under stochastic operating conditions, and to assess the practical performance of the proposed strategies. The framework is applied to a real-world automotive case study, where flexible production policies, including fractional production and urgent procurement, are evaluated in terms of their economic and social sustainability impacts. The results demonstrate that integrating robust optimization with simulation improves supply chain resilience, reduces vulnerability to uncertainty, and supports more sustainable operational decision-making. The proposed approach provides valuable insights for managers seeking to design resilient and sustainable automotive supply chains under uncertain environments.

Suggested Citation

  • Zahra Jafaripour & Mehdi Davoodi & Seyed Mojtaba Sajadi & Afarin Aghaee & Mohammadreza Taghizadeh Yazdi, 2026. "An Integrated Robust Optimization and Simulation Framework for Sustainable and Resilient Automotive Supply Chain Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 18(3), pages 1-33, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:18:y:2026:i:3:p:1595-:d:1857218
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