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Human-Centric Digital Twins for Spatial Sustainability: A Procedural VR Framework for Calibrating Agent-Based Evacuation Models in Diverse Urban Morphologies

Author

Listed:
  • Duygu Kalkanlı

    (Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Istanbul Technical University, İstanbul 34467, Türkiye)

  • Seda Kundak

    (Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Istanbul Technical University, İstanbul 34467, Türkiye)

  • Funda Atun

    (Faculty of Geoinformation Science and Earth Observation (ITC), University of Twente, 7522 NB Enschede, The Netherlands)

  • Cees J. van Westen

    (Faculty of Geoinformation Science and Earth Observation (ITC), University of Twente, 7522 NB Enschede, The Netherlands)

Abstract

Urban sustainability is increasingly defined by the resilience of the built environment against hazards. While Agent-Based Models (ABMs) are commonly used to simulate these dynamics, their predictive capacity is often limited by a lack of empirical behavioral data. This study addresses this gap by introducing a Human-Centric Digital Twin framework that integrates procedural generation with immersive Virtual Reality (VR) to quantify ‘spatial sustainability’, defined as the capacity of an urban form to support life safety without compromising its morphological identity. In this framework, VR serves as a controlled environment for observing navigation under stress, while procedural generation creates structurally distinct urban morphologies (orthogonal vs. organic) to enable universal calibration. The approach was validated through evacuation experiments with 37 participants under varying visibility conditions. Results reveal that while performance was similar in daylight, significant behavioral divergence emerged at night; the organic layout (Type A) exhibited greater variability and longer evacuation times compared to the orthogonal grid (Type B). These findings confirm that spatial configuration dictates resilience when sensory inputs degrade. Consequently, this study offers a transferable, data-independent protocol for measuring and monitoring urban resilience in data-scarce environments.

Suggested Citation

  • Duygu Kalkanlı & Seda Kundak & Funda Atun & Cees J. van Westen, 2026. "Human-Centric Digital Twins for Spatial Sustainability: A Procedural VR Framework for Calibrating Agent-Based Evacuation Models in Diverse Urban Morphologies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 18(3), pages 1-18, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:18:y:2026:i:3:p:1482-:d:1855302
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