Digital Siphoning and Resource Lock-In: The Distortion and Spatial Divergence of the Digital Economy’s Green Effects

As digital technologies increasingly permeate urban governance and economic systems, the digital economy (DE) is widely regarded as a key driver of green urban transformation. However, its environmental effects remain complex under the dual constraints of resource dependence (RD) and spatial structure. Drawing on panel data from 277 Chinese prefecture-level cities from 2011 to 2019, this study systematically evaluates the green impacts of the DE across varying resource conditions and urban lifecycle stages. The results reveal a dual-effect pattern: while digitalization significantly promotes local green sustainable development (GSD), it simultaneously suppresses the green performance of neighboring cities through siphoning effects, creating spatial divergence. Cities with lower levels of RD are more likely to benefit from digital dividends, whereas in high-dependence settings, the green effects of digitalization reverse beyond a critical threshold. Grouped regressions for resource-based (RBCs) and non-resource-based cities (NRBCs) further confirm this moderating mechanism. Moreover, lifecycle heterogeneity among RBCs leads to differentiated green outcomes. By introducing the dual mechanisms of “resource lock-in” and “digital siphoning” into the framework of GSD, this study expands the theoretical understanding of the interaction between digitalization and RD. The findings provide empirical support for interpreting the structural divergence in DE–GSD linkages and offer a quantitative basis for differentiated policy strategies in resource-intensive urban contexts.