Spatial Coupling of Vegetation Frontline Migration and Vegetation-Cover Change on the Eastern Bank of the Liaohe Estuary Based on Multi-Source Remote Sensing (2000–2025)

This study investigated vegetation frontline dynamics, fractional vegetation cover (FVC), and community succession in the tidal-flat wetlands of the Liaohe Estuary. The eastern bank of the Liaohe River within the Shuangtaihe National Nature Reserve was selected as the study area, and six periods of Landsat and Gaofen-1 (GF-1) imagery from 2000 to 2025 were used. Remote-sensing preprocessing, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI)-based FVC inversion, vegetation frontline extraction, Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS)-based rate calculation, land-cover classification, and spatial correlation analysis were integrated to characterize wetland spatiotemporal dynamics and succession patterns. The results showed that the linear regression rate (LRR) and end point rate (EPR) effectively captured the long-term trend and five short-term fluctuations in vegetation frontline migration. FVC fluctuated markedly over the 25-year period, whereas the weighted average (WA) of the five FVC classes remained generally stable and effectively summarized overall vegetation growth. Vegetation frontline migration was spatially associated with annual FVC change (ΔFVC); both LRR and ΔFVC showed significant positive spatial autocorrelation and evident spatial clustering. In addition, the conversion among mudflats, Suaeda salsa , Phragmites australis , and water bodies was closely coupled with frontline migration. These findings provide a scientific basis for quantifying coastal wetland sustainability and for designing spatially targeted restoration strategies in the Liaohe Estuary. The proposed coupling analysis framework also offers a transferable remote sensing approach for monitoring wetland sustainability under changing environmental conditions.