Optimizing Production–Living–Ecological Space Under Resource and Environmental Carrying Capacity Constraints: Evidence from Daye City, China

Evaluating resource and environmental carrying capacity (RECC) serves as a fundamental approach for assessing regional environmental baselines and is widely applied in territorial spatial planning. Focusing on Daye City—a characteristic resource-exhausted city in Hubei Province—this study developed a comprehensive RECC evaluation system. By integrating the obstacle degree model, hotspot analysis, and Geodetector, we investigated the spatial differentiation mechanisms of RECC and the resulting production–living–ecological (PLE) spatial conflicts, ultimately proposing targeted optimization pathways. The core findings are as follows: (1) The RECC of Daye City exhibits pronounced spatial polarization and a distinct north–south gradient. (2) The spatial stress of industrial/mining land emerges as the primary obstacle (36.47%). Together with geological hazard risk and soil erosion sensitivity, it forms a core constraint chain. The highly significant hotspots of these factors strongly overlap in the north-central mining districts. (3) Geodetector analysis reveals robust bivariate and nonlinear enhancement effects among these core obstacle factors. This indicates that the cascading vicious cycle of mining disturbance, ecological degradation, and declining carrying capacity fundamentally underlies the constrained RECC in mining regions. (4) PLE spatial conflicts across the study area are dominated by production–ecological conflicts (47.73%), presenting a spatial pattern that heavily couples with the polarized obstacle zones. Based on these findings, this study proposes differentiated regulation strategies centered on mitigating mining-induced stress and interrupting the cascading transmission of disaster risks. These strategies aim to restructure and optimize the territorial spatial pattern, providing robust quantitative decision support for the sustainable transformation of similar resource-exhausted cities.