Marine Resources and Tourism Industry in China’s Coastal Areas: Coupling Coordination, Driving Mechanism and Compensation Path

Against the coordinated advancement of building a maritime power, high-quality development of marine tourism and ecological civilization construction, realizing positive interaction between marine resource conservation and tourism industrial development has emerged as a pivotal issue for high-quality growth in coastal regions. Taking 11 coastal provincial-level administrative regions in China spanning 2008 to 2024 as the research sample, this paper first establishes an evaluation indicator system covering marine resources and the tourism industry. It further adopts an integrated empirical framework encompassing the coupling coordination degree model, spatial Markov chain model, obstacle degree model, fixed-effect model and geographically and temporally weighted regression ( GTWR ) model to systematically unpack the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics, internal restrictive obstacle factors and external driving determinants of the two-system coupling coordination. On this basis, a marine resource compensation mechanism for tourist destinations is formulated. Empirical results demonstrate four core findings: (1) In terms of temporal evolution, the overall coupling coordination level keeps rising and goes through three phases: initial development, rapid improvement and post-shock recovery. After a short-term decline triggered by the pandemic, the index rebounds markedly after 2023, showing that the two systems can recover and stabilize. (2) In terms of spatial layout, a persistent stratified spatial pattern featuring “higher coordination in southern coast versus lower coordination in northern coast with three-tier hierarchical differentiation” is identified; high-level neighboring regions exert prominent positive spatial spillover effects, whereas low-level adjacent areas are prone to fall into development lock-in traps. (3) For internal constraint obstacles, the marine resource subsystem is persistently restricted by resource exploitation limits and coastal spatial scarcity, while the dominant bottleneck of the tourism industrial subsystem shifts from insufficient market scale to inadequate human capital supply. (4) Regarding external driving forces, the proportion of tertiary industry and the digital infrastructure constitute core driving contributors, whereas marketization progress and opening-up degree act as primary restrictive factors, with pronounced spatial heterogeneity existing across all driving indicators. Finally, in line with the quasi-public-good attribute and ecological externality of marine resources, this study constructs a differentiated and synergistic marine resource compensation mechanism from three dimensions: stakeholder identification, compensation implementation pathways and institutional guarantee systems. The proposed framework provides theoretical references and practical policy options to facilitate high-level coupling and coordinated development between marine resource preservation and the coastal tourism industry. The marginal contribution of this research lies in integrating coupling coordination measurement, obstacle factor diagnosis, driving mechanism identification and compensation mechanism design into an integrated analytical framework, which delivers theoretical foundations and operable policy solutions for coastal marine resource protection, tourism industrial upgrading and differentiated compensation system construction.