Analysis of the Severity of Road Accidents Using Combined Data Mining Techniques

Road traffic accidents represent a critical road safety issue, the severity of which depends on the complex interplay of multiple factors. This issue directly impacts Target 3.6 of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3, which aims to halve global deaths and injuries by 2030, and SDG 11, which focuses on safe and sustainable transport systems. The study of these factors and their interrelationships is important in the scientific literature. The objective of this study is to analyze the factors that determine the severity of road traffic accidents, identifying the most important ones and their correlations. A dataset containing variables such as infrastructure, location, time, and vehicle type, among others, was used to predict severity, applying Association Rules to identify latent correlations and the Classification and Regression Tree for hierarchical risk classification. The results reveal that the type of collision is the primary predictor of severity; the highest severity is associated with heavy traffic and head-on or side-impact collisions, involving critical scenarios, in the early morning hours and in rural areas, linked to trucks. The combined use of both tools provides a scientific basis for designing interventions on highly vulnerable road segments, contributing to the fulfillment of the 2030 Agenda for safe mobility.