Multiple Approaches to Sustainable Development: A Case Study of Flash Flooding in the Hanefah Catchment, Central Saudi Arabia

Worldwide, flash floods are among the most unpredictable and hazardous hydrological phenomena, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions such as the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, where sudden heavy rainfall follows prolonged periods of drought. This work presents an effective integrated model for flood hazard evaluation in the Hanefah Catchment, a socioeconomically vital area in the central part of Saudi Arabia that includes the capital city, Riyadh. Using high-resolution ALOS PALSAR 12.5 m Digital Elevation Model spatial data, we extracted and investigated indicative linear, areal, and relief morphometric keys of 64 sub-catchments. This paper employs a dual-method concept that integrates a multi-criteria ranking method and the El-Shamy approach in conjunction with morphotectonic analysis to model flood-susceptibility zones. Furthermore, this paper suggests a comparative assessment of low-cost morphometric models under data-scarce conditions, assessing the multi-criteria ranking method against El-Shamy’s approach, using the topographic position index (TPI) as an internal terrain scale benchmark. The ranking method successfully assigned 85.7% of the historically recorded flood locations to the high-hazard zone that covers ~24.22% of the Hanefah catchment. In contrast, the El-Shamy approach systematically underestimated flood susceptibility because regional tectonic activity increases bifurcation ratios, resulting in just ~42.9% of the historical floods being assigned to the high-hazard zone. The final results highlight the northern and northwestern parts of the catchment as high-hazard zones, characterized by high drainage density and steep relief. This study provides a refined, cost-effective model that aligns with the strategic objectives of Saudi Vision 2030 for sustainable water resources management and significant urban development.