Assessing Circularity Readiness in Data-Scarce Contexts: A Regional Framework for Environmental Resource Sectors in Vietnam

Transitioning to a circular economy (CE) is now a strategic priority for countries to decouple economic growth from environmental degradation. However, in developing contexts, the readiness of environmental resource sectors to adopt CE principles is unknown due to a lack of data and uneven institutional capacity. This study presents the first regional baseline assessment of circularity readiness in Vietnam’s environmental resource sectors, focusing on land, mining, water and waste. A five-dimensional readiness framework (policy, resource management, innovation, business, awareness) was developed and applied across Vietnam’s six ecological–economic regions. A Delphi process with 12 experts was conducted in three rounds to capture and refine expert judgments, supplemented by triangulated proxy indicators (e.g., plastic recycling rates, wastewater treatment coverage). Readiness scores were aggregated at dimension and regional levels and analyzed using radar charts, heatmaps and hierarchical clustering. Results showed significant regional disparities. The Southeast (SE) and Red River Delta (RRD) have high readiness due to clearer policy frameworks, stronger institutions and more dynamic business ecosystems. The Northern Midlands and Mountains (NMM) and Central Highlands (CH) have low readiness due to infrastructural gaps, weak innovation and limited public engagement. The Mekong Delta (MD) and North Central Coast (NCC) have medium readiness, reflecting partial progress but uneven implementation. The study made three contributions: (1) a new context-specific framework for CE readiness in environmental resource sectors; (2) the value of expert-based, proxy-informed methods in data-scarce contexts; and (3) a policy roadmap for different regional readiness levels. Findings suggest that the CE should be integrated into resource planning, regional observatories should be established and CE-related research and development (R&D) should receive investment. Future research should move towards standardized quantitative indicators and predictive models to track how readiness changes under policy interventions.