Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Green Transition Resilience in Four Types of China’s Resource-Based Cities Based on the Geographical Detector Model

Promoting synergistic economic–resource–environmental development in resource-based cities (RBCs) is a fundamental requirement for ensuring national energy security and advancing regional sustainable and coordinated development. This study innovatively proposes the theoretical framework of “green transformation resilience (GTR)” based on evolutionary resilience theory, and then empirically explores the GTR of 114 RBCs in China from the perspective of urban development stages using multiple data models. The findings indicate that the GTR demonstrated an overall upward trend, though it remained at a consistently low level. Regenerative RBCs exhibited the highest GTR levels. GTR exhibits an uneven spatial distribution, primarily caused by super-variation density. The factor detection results indicate that factors such as government intervention, income level, and human capital have strong explanatory power for the spatial variation of GTR. Interaction analysis confirmed the significant nonlinear enhancement or bivariate enhancement of all pairs of factors. This study provides a basis for the differentiated development paths of GTR in China’s RBCs. Moreover, through factor interaction testing, it also offers guidance on policy combinations and prioritization for RBCs in different development stages.