A Study on Optimal Scheduling of Low-Carbon Virtual Power Plants Based on Dynamic Carbon Emission Factors

Under the dual targets of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, virtual power plants (VPPs) are expected to coordinate distributed energy resources in distribution networks to ensure low-carbon operation. This paper introduces a distribution-level dynamic carbon emission factor (DCEF), derived from nodal carbon potentials on an IEEE 33-bus distribution network, and uses it as a time-varying carbon signal to guide VPP scheduling. A bi-objective ε-constraint mixed-integer linear programming model is formulated to minimise daily operating costs and CO 2 emissions, with a demand response and battery storage being dispatched under network constraints. Four seasonal typical working days are constructed from measured load data and wind/PV profiles, and three strategies are compared: pure economic dispatch, dispatch with a static average carbon factor, and dispatch with the proposed spatiotemporal DCEF. Our results show that the DCEF-based strategy reduces daily CO 2 emissions by up to about 8–9% in the typical summer day compared with economic dispatch, while in spring, autumn, and winter, it achieves smaller but measurable reductions in the order of 0.1–0.3% of daily emissions. Across all seasons, the average and peak carbon potential are noticeably lowered, and renewable energy utilisation is improved, with limited impacts on costs. These findings indicate that feeder-level DCEFs provide a practical extension of existing carbon-aware demand response frameworks for low-carbon VPP dispatch in distribution networks.