The Impact of Digitalized All-Electric Aircraft on the Sustainable Development of the Aviation Industry: A Dynamic Differential Game Study Considering Delayed Effects

To meet the sustainable development goals of the aviation industry, promoting digitalized all-electric aircraft (AEA) is a critical path. However, during the dynamic popularization process of digitalized AEA, the interests among manufacturers, airlines, and governments vary, coupled with a notable time delay in digitalized technological R&D and market promotion. Therefore, this study establishes differential game models for popularizing AEA and investigates dynamic optimal strategies of potential benefits, levels of digitalized R&D, consumer preferences, and market demand, under three game modes: Nash non-cooperative, cost-sharing, and collaborative cooperation. The research finds that: (1) When the promotion cost of AEA is lower than a certain threshold, the cost-sharing model can effectively enhance digital R&D. (2) In the case of ignoring time lag, the initial value of the battery life level and consumer preference becomes the decisive factor that significantly affects its dynamic evolution trajectory. Under the cost-sharing model, the battery life level and consumer preference reached 107.13 and 15.26, respectively. This is significantly higher than the collaborative model and the NASH non-cooperative model. (3) When the delay effect exceeds the thresholds of 4.58 and 5.49, respectively, the Nash non-cooperative model becomes the most effective promotion model. This paper provides an important decision-making reference for promoting the digital transformation and sustainable development of the aviation industry.