From Social Stability to Social Sustainability: Comparing SIA and SSRA in an ADB Loan Project in China

Social impact assessment (SIA) is a key tool for advancing the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) within project contexts. Originating largely from international practice, SIA requires localization to fit national conditions. This research examines an Asian Development Bank (ADB) loan project in Hubei Province, China, comparing the SIA conducted under ADB procedures with China’s domestic practice of social stability risk assessment (SSRA)—China’s localized practice of SIA. Adopting a full project life cycle perspective, this article conducts a comprehensive gap analysis between SIA and SSRA from five key dimensions: cycle requirement of assessment, implementation of assessment activity, assessment outcome, application of assessment outcome, and assessment objective. While both approaches are quite similar in four aspects (assessment subject, assessment principle, risk investigation method, and risk classification), SIA places greater emphasis on social sustainability dimensions (poverty, gender, ethnic minority, and involuntary resettlement), whereas SSRA mainly focuses on social stability during the early project proposal and feasibility study stages. Building on the preceding analysis and comparison between SIA and SSRA, this research proposes a “Social Stability–Social Sustainability” progressive framework. Social stability serves as the foundational condition, while the framework emphasizes enhancing the long-term adaptive capacity of social governance through inclusion, participation, and resilience, thereby achieving genuine social sustainability.