Development of Real-Time IoT-Based Air Quality Forecasting System Using Machine Learning Approach

Air quality monitoring and forecasting have become increasingly critical in urban environments due to rising pollution levels and their impact on public health. Recent advances in Internet of Things (IoT) technology and machine learning offer promising alternatives to traditional monitoring stations, which are limited by high costs and sparse deployment. This paper presents the development of a real-time, low-cost air quality forecasting system that integrates IoT-based sensing units with predictive machine learning algorithms. The proposed system employs low-cost gas sensors and microcontroller-based hardware to monitor pollutants such as particulate matter, carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide and volatile organic compounds. A fully functional prototype device was designed and manufactured using Fused Deposition Modeling (FDM) with modular and scalable features. The data acquisition pipeline includes on-device adjustment, local smoothing, and cloud transfer for real-time storage and visualization. Advanced feature engineering and a multi-model training strategy were used to generate accurate short-term forecasts. Among the models tested, the GRU-based deep learning model yielded the highest performance, achieving R 2 values above 0.93 and maintaining latency below 130 ms, suitable for real-time use. The system also achieved over 91% accuracy in health-based AQI category predictions and demonstrated stable performance without sensor saturation under high-pollution conditions. This study demonstrates that combining embedded hardware, real-time analytics, and ML-driven forecasting enables robust and scalable air quality management solutions, contributing directly to sustainable development goals through enhanced environmental monitoring and public health responsiveness.