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Application of an Integrated DEMATEL-ISM-BN and Gray Clustering Model to Budget Quota Consumption Analysis in High-Standard Farmland Projects

Author

Listed:
  • Jiaze Li

    (College of Water Conservancy, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866, China)

  • Xuenan Li

    (College of Water Conservancy, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866, China)

  • Kun Han

    (College of Water Conservancy, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866, China)

  • Chunsheng Li

    (College of Water Conservancy, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866, China)

Abstract

To overcome the absence of a standardized budget quota system for high-standard farmland projects and the resultant extended compilation cycles and high workloads, this study systematically analyzes quota consumption and innovatively proposes an integrated DEMATEL-ISM-BN and gray clustering analytical model. Through a literature review and engineering feature analysis, a hierarchical factor system was established, encompassing six dimensions (environmental, technical, labor, machinery, material, and management) and 24 indicators. The DEMATEL-ISM method quantified factor weights and structured them into a five-level hierarchy, while Bayesian networks (BNs) enabled probabilistic productivity predictions (29% conservative, 45% moderate, and 26% advanced). Gray clustering was integrated to derive a comprehensive representative consumption value, and validation across six regions demonstrated a comprehensive productivity index of 0.986 (CV = 2.6%) for 17 earthwork projects, confirming model robustness. This research constructs a standardized “factor structure analysis–probabilistic deduction–regional clustering” framework, providing a theoretical foundation for precise budget compilation in high-standard farmland and proposing a novel methodological paradigm for quota consumption research.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiaze Li & Xuenan Li & Kun Han & Chunsheng Li, 2025. "Application of an Integrated DEMATEL-ISM-BN and Gray Clustering Model to Budget Quota Consumption Analysis in High-Standard Farmland Projects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-26, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:16:p:7204-:d:1720837
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Savina Nur Izzati & Romadhani Ardi & Sunkuk Kim & Shafira Arindra Putri, 2024. "Evaluating Drivers and Barriers of Integrated Waste Management System Implementation in Indonesian Construction Industry: A DEMATEL-Based Analytical Network Process," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-18, March.
    2. Xuenan Li & Kun Han & Jiaze Li & Chunsheng Li, 2025. "A Sustainable Solution for High-Standard Farmland Construction—NGO–BP Model for Cost Indicator Prediction in Fertility Enhancement Projects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-19, July.
    3. He, Yongming & Kang, Jia & Pei, Yulong & Ran, Bin & Song, Yuting, 2021. "Research on influencing factors of fuel consumption on superhighway based on DEMATEL-ISM model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    4. Huo, Tengfei & Cong, Xiaobo & Cheng, Cong & Cai, Weiguang & Zuo, Jian, 2023. "What is the driving mechanism for the carbon emissions in the building sector? An integrated DEMATEL-ISM model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    5. Omer Bafail & Mohammed Alamoudi, 2024. "Investigation and Analysis of Interrelationships Among Safety Managerial Aspects Affecting Safety Climate Using Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-22, December.
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