Flood Analysis in Lower Filyos Basin Using HEC-RAS and HEC-HMS Software

Flood events have become more frequent as a result of seasonal changes, global warming, and changes in sea level. In terms of basin management, it is necessary to know the hydrodynamics of the basin in order to produce faster solutions in emergency action plans. The Filyos River is one of the two most important floodplains in the western Black Sea basin and has so far only been analyzed to a limited extent using modern hydrological and hydraulic models. In order to analyze the flood dynamics and determine the flood risks in the Filyos River. In this context, flood hydrographs, rainfall depths, peak flows, and excess water volumes were calculated for different return periods (2, 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 years) using HEC-RAS, HEC-HMS, and Hyfran Plus software. The analyses showed that the rainfall depth and peak flow rate increased significantly as the return period increased. It was also observed that although the volume of precipitation increased, the amount of water converted into surface runoff remained limited due to infiltration and other losses. The results of the study contribute to the identification of high flood-risk areas in the Filyos River basin, the improvement of flood prevention infrastructure, and the development of sustainable water management policies. Analyses using modeling tools such as HEC-RAS and HEC-HMS provide a scientific basis to help local governments and decision makers strengthen flood prevention strategies, update risk maps, and make emergency response plans more effective while making flood scenarios more reliable.