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Prioritization of Hazardous Zones Using an Advanced Risk Management Model Combining the Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Set Theory

Author

Listed:
  • Kibeom Kwon

    (School of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea)

  • Minkyu Kang

    (School of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea)

  • Dongku Kim

    (Department of Geotechnical Engineering Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology (KICT), Goyang 10223, Republic of Korea)

  • Hangseok Choi

    (School of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Korea University, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea)

Abstract

Risk management plays a vital role in ensuring the safety and efficiency of tunnel construction by considering various factors, including uncertainties associated with concurrent adverse sources. One key aspect of risk management is prioritizing hazardous zones to devise an optimal countermeasure plan within time and cost constraints. This study developed an advanced tunnel risk management model, combining the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy set theory (FST). The model derived the impact using AHP and the probability using FST. By selectively combining causal factors that met the selection criterion, the risk of each hazardous zone was determined, enabling the prioritization of identified hazardous zones. The model application results indicated that causal combinations associated with significant tunnel convergence posed a relatively high risk. Moreover, the hazardous zones where unstable ground formations were excavated by a gripper tunnel boring machine (TBM) were revealed as the most vulnerable locations. Consequently, adopting a shield TBM or implementing ground reinforcement is recommended. Overall, the developed model effectively prioritizes identified hazardous zones and provides an optimal countermeasure plan, contributing to the overall safety and efficiency of the operations.

Suggested Citation

  • Kibeom Kwon & Minkyu Kang & Dongku Kim & Hangseok Choi, 2023. "Prioritization of Hazardous Zones Using an Advanced Risk Management Model Combining the Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Set Theory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-15, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:15:p:12018-:d:1210928
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hamid Pourghasemi & Biswajeet Pradhan & Candan Gokceoglu, 2012. "Application of fuzzy logic and analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to landslide susceptibility mapping at Haraz watershed, Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 965-996, September.
    2. Heeyoung Chung & Jeongjun Park & Byung-Kyu Kim & Kibeom Kwon & In-Mo Lee & Hangseok Choi, 2021. "A Causal Network-Based Risk Matrix Model Applicable to Shield TBM Tunneling Projects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-23, April.
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