IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i6p3532-d773278.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Probability Model of Riding Behavior Choice of Two-Wheelers under the Influence of the Subsidence Area of a Manhole Cover

Author

Listed:
  • Dan Zhou

    (School of Architecture and Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Jinji Road 1#, Guilin 541004, China)

  • Qingwei Hu

    (School of Architecture and Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Jinji Road 1#, Guilin 541004, China)

  • Xin Sun

    (School of Architecture and Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Jinji Road 1#, Guilin 541004, China)

  • Weizhen Yao

    (School of Architecture and Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Jinji Road 1#, Guilin 541004, China)

  • Guobin Gu

    (School of Architecture and Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Jinji Road 1#, Guilin 541004, China)

  • Ruixin Yang

    (School of Architecture and Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Jinji Road 1#, Guilin 541004, China)

  • Congruo Ma

    (School of Architecture and Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Jinji Road 1#, Guilin 541004, China)

Abstract

To objectively evaluate the influence of the subsidence area of a manhole cover on the riding behavior of two-wheeler riders in urban bicycle lanes, a probability model of riding behavior of two-wheeler riders was established. The main factors influencing the probability of riding behaviors under the condition of the subsidence area of a manhole cover are investigated. Based on the field data of 10 survey sections in Guilin, the regression models between the selected probability of independent riding behavior, combined riding behavior and the main influencing factors are respectively established by using the multiple regression analysis method. The results show that the selected probabilities of deceleration riding behavior and original-speed riding behavior have a linear regression relationship with the subsidence depth of the manhole cover and the lane integrity. The subsidence depth of manhole covers is positively correlated with the probability of deceleration riding behavior and negatively correlated with the probability of original-speed riding behavior; lane integrity is positively correlated with both the probability of deceleration riding behavior and the probability of original-speed riding behavior. The data goodness-of-fit value for the relevant influence factors in the two models is 0.941 and 0.900, respectively. The probability of acceleration riding behavior has a linear regression relationship with the lane integrity and section flow. Lane integrity is negatively correlated with the probability of acceleration riding behavior and positively correlated with section flow. The data goodness-of-fit value for the relevant influence factors is 0.821. The probabilities of straight riding behavior and detour riding behavior have a linear regression relationship with the subsidence depth of manhole covers and the minor width of the flat part. The subsidence depth of a manhole cover is negatively correlated with the probability of straight riding behavior and positively correlated with the probability of detour riding behavior. The minor width of flat part is negatively correlated with the probability of straight riding behavior and positively correlated with the probability of detour riding behavior. The data goodness-of-fit value for the relevant influence factors in the two models is 0.601 and 0.603, respectively. The results provide the theoretical basis for the evaluation of the severity and optimization design of the subsidence of manhole covers in urban bicycle lanes.

Suggested Citation

  • Dan Zhou & Qingwei Hu & Xin Sun & Weizhen Yao & Guobin Gu & Ruixin Yang & Congruo Ma, 2022. "Probability Model of Riding Behavior Choice of Two-Wheelers under the Influence of the Subsidence Area of a Manhole Cover," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-28, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:6:p:3532-:d:773278
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3532/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3532/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:6:p:3532-:d:773278. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.