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The Unit-Modified Weibull Distribution: Theory, Estimation, and Real-World Applications

Author

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  • Ammar M. Sarhan

    (Mathematics Department, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, Mansoura 35516, Egypt
    Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS B3H 4R2, Canada)

  • Thamer Manshi

    (Department of Statistics & Operation Research, College of science, King Saud University, Riyadh P.O. Box 11451, Saudi Arabia)

  • M. E. Sobh

    (Mathematics Department, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, Mansoura 35516, Egypt)

Abstract

This paper introduces the Unit-Modified Weibull (UMW) distribution, a novel probability model defined on the unit interval ( 0 , 1 ) . We derive its key statistical properties and estimate its parameters using the maximum likelihood method. The performance of the estimators is assessed via a simulation study based on mean squared error, coverage probability, and average confidence interval length. To evaluate the practical utility of the model, we analyze three real-world data sets. Both parametric and nonparametric goodness-of-fit techniques are employed to compare the UMW distribution with several well-established competing models. In addition, nonparametric diagnostic tools such as total time on test transform plots and violin plots are used to explore the data’s behavior and assess the adequacy of the proposed model. Results indicate that the UMW distribution offers a competitive and flexible alternative for modeling bounded data.

Suggested Citation

  • Ammar M. Sarhan & Thamer Manshi & M. E. Sobh, 2025. "The Unit-Modified Weibull Distribution: Theory, Estimation, and Real-World Applications," Stats, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-27, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jstats:v:8:y:2025:i:3:p:81-:d:1748287
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hassan S. Bakouch & Tassaddaq Hussain & Marina Tošić & Vladica S. Stojanović & Najla Qarmalah, 2023. "Unit Exponential Probability Distribution: Characterization and Applications in Environmental and Engineering Data Modeling," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-22, October.
    2. Francesca Condino & Filippo Domma, 2017. "A new distribution function with bounded support: the reflected generalized Topp-Leone power series distribution," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 75(1), pages 51-68, April.
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