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Generation of Virtual Patient Populations That Represent Real Type 1 Diabetes Cohorts

Author

Listed:
  • Sayyar Ahmad

    (Institute of Informatics and Applications, University of Girona, 17003 Girona, Spain)

  • Charrise M. Ramkissoon

    (Institute of Informatics and Applications, University of Girona, 17003 Girona, Spain)

  • Aleix Beneyto

    (Institute of Informatics and Applications, University of Girona, 17003 Girona, Spain)

  • Ignacio Conget

    (Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Diabetes y Enfermedades Metabólicas Asociadas (CIBERDEM), 28001 Madrid, Spain
    Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), 08023 Barcelona, Spain)

  • Marga Giménez

    (Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Diabetes y Enfermedades Metabólicas Asociadas (CIBERDEM), 28001 Madrid, Spain
    Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), 08023 Barcelona, Spain)

  • Josep Vehi

    (Institute of Informatics and Applications, University of Girona, 17003 Girona, Spain)

Abstract

Preclinical testing and validation of therapeutic strategies developed for patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) require a cohort of virtual patients (VPs). However, current simulators provide a limited number of VPs, lack real-life scenarios, and inadequately represent intra- and inter-day variability in insulin sensitivity and blood glucose (BG) profile. The generation of a realistic scenario was achieved by using the meal patterns, insulin profiles (basal and bolus), and exercise sessions estimated as disturbances using clinical data from a cohort of 14 T1D patients using the Medtronic 640G insulin pump provided by the Hospital Clínic de Barcelona. The UVa/Padova’s cohort of adult patients was used for the generation of a new cohort of VPs. Insulin model parameters were optimized and adjusted in a day-by-day fashion to replicate the clinical data to create a cohort of 75 VPs. All primary and secondary outcomes reflecting the BG profile of a T1D patient were analyzed and compared to the clinical data. The mean BG 166.3 versus 162.2 mg/dL ( p = 0.19), coefficient of variation 32% versus 33% ( p = 0.54), and percent of time in range (70 to 180 mg/dL) 59.6% versus 66.8% ( p = 0.35) were achieved. The proposed methodology for generating a cohort of VPs is capable of mimicking the BG metrics of a real cohort of T1D patients from the Hospital Clínic de Barcelona. It can adopt the inter-day variations in the BG profile, similar to the observed clinical data, and thus provide a benchmark for preclinical testing of control techniques and therapy strategies for T1D patients.

Suggested Citation

  • Sayyar Ahmad & Charrise M. Ramkissoon & Aleix Beneyto & Ignacio Conget & Marga Giménez & Josep Vehi, 2021. "Generation of Virtual Patient Populations That Represent Real Type 1 Diabetes Cohorts," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-15, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:9:y:2021:i:11:p:1200-:d:561964
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Navid Resalat & Joseph El Youssef & Nichole Tyler & Jessica Castle & Peter G Jacobs, 2019. "A statistical virtual patient population for the glucoregulatory system in type 1 diabetes with integrated exercise model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, July.
    2. Mounir Djouima & Ahmad Taher Azar & Saïd Drid & Driss Mehdi, 2018. "Higher Order Sliding Mode Control for Blood Glucose Regulation of Type 1 Diabetic Patients," International Journal of System Dynamics Applications (IJSDA), IGI Global, vol. 7(1), pages 65-84, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Omer Mujahid & Ivan Contreras & Aleix Beneyto & Ignacio Conget & Marga Giménez & Josep Vehi, 2022. "Conditional Synthesis of Blood Glucose Profiles for T1D Patients Using Deep Generative Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(20), pages 1-15, October.
    2. Shu-Rong Yan & Khalid A. Alattas & Mohsen Bakouri & Abdullah K. Alanazi & Ardashir Mohammadzadeh & Saleh Mobayen & Anton Zhilenkov & Wei Guo, 2022. "Generalized Type-2 Fuzzy Control for Type-I Diabetes: Analytical Robust System," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-20, February.
    3. Alexis Alonso-Bastida & Manuel Adam-Medina & Rubén Posada-Gómez & Dolores Azucena Salazar-Piña & Gloria-Lilia Osorio-Gordillo & Luis Gerardo Vela-Valdés, 2022. "Dynamic of Glucose Homeostasis in Virtual Patients: A Comparison between Different Behaviors," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(2), pages 1-19, January.

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