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Forecast-Guided Distributionally Robust Scheduling of Hybrid Energy Storage for Stability Support in Offshore Wind Farms

Author

Listed:
  • Yijuan Xu

    (School of New Energy, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot 010051, China)

  • Tiandong Zhang

    (School of New Energy, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot 010051, China)

  • Zixiang Shen

    (School of New Energy, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot 010051, China)

Abstract

High-frequency volatility and extreme tail risks in offshore wind power pose severe challenges to grid stability and economic operation. Conventional storage planning often relies on deterministic profiles or static allocation rules, failing to capture the non-stationary temporal dynamics of marine wind resources. To bridge this gap, this paper proposes a closed-loop framework that integrates ultra-short-term probabilistic forecasting with dynamic hybrid energy storage optimization. A novel Dual-Channel Residual Network is developed to provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty quantification, which explicitly drives a Prediction-Guided Dynamic Hybrid Storage Optimization Framework. By dynamically coordinating lithium-ion batteries and liquid air energy storage based on evidential predictive variance, the proposed approach achieves superior synergy between short-term power response and long-duration energy shifting. Case studies on an offshore wind farm validate that the framework significantly reduces the Levelized Cost of Energy and loss-of-load risks while enhancing frequency regulation capabilities compared to state-of-the-art benchmarks.

Suggested Citation

  • Yijuan Xu & Tiandong Zhang & Zixiang Shen, 2026. "Forecast-Guided Distributionally Robust Scheduling of Hybrid Energy Storage for Stability Support in Offshore Wind Farms," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-23, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:14:y:2026:i:9:p:1458-:d:1928870
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