IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v14y2026i6p941-d1890637.html

A Median-Centered Sequential Monitoring Scheme Based on Golden Ratio Weighting for Skewed Distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Elif Kozan

    (Management School, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YX, UK
    Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science, Ege University, Izmir 35100, Türkiye)

Abstract

Detecting small location shifts in stochastic processes is a fundamental problem in sequential statistical monitoring. Classical procedures such as Shewhart-type schemes, exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), and cumulative sum (CUSUM) methods are known to perform well under normality or near-symmetry assumptions; however, their effectiveness may deteriorate in the presence of right-skewed distributions. In such settings, mean-based monitoring statistics can be highly sensitive to tail behavior, which may lead to delayed detection of small shifts or unstable false alarm performance. This paper introduces a monitoring scheme referred to as the Golden Ratio (GR) control chart, designed for detecting small location shifts in right-skewed distributions. The proposed method is constructed using a median-centered statistic combined with a geometrically decaying weighting mechanism derived from the golden ratio. Unlike classical time-based weighting schemes, the GR chart assigns weights according to the rank-based distance from the sample median, thereby attenuating the influence of isolated extreme observations while preserving sensitivity to persistent distributional changes. The run-length performance of the proposed chart is investigated using Monte Carlo simulation experiments. All competing procedures are calibrated to achieve comparable in-control average run lengths. The GR chart is compared with classical EWMA and CUSUM charts under several skewed distributions, including Gamma, Lognormal, and Weibull models. Simulation results indicate that the proposed approach provides a robust and stable monitoring alternative for skewed processes. In particular, the GR chart demonstrates competitive performance for detecting small location shifts while reducing the influence of extreme observations commonly encountered in right-skewed environments.

Suggested Citation

  • Elif Kozan, 2026. "A Median-Centered Sequential Monitoring Scheme Based on Golden Ratio Weighting for Skewed Distributions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:14:y:2026:i:6:p:941-:d:1890637
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/14/6/941/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/14/6/941/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:14:y:2026:i:6:p:941-:d:1890637. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask MDPI Indexing Manager to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.