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Random Forest Adaptation for High-Dimensional Count Regression

Author

Listed:
  • Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran

    (Department of Statistics, Faculty of Physical Sciences, University of Ilorin, Ilorin 1515, Nigeria
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Saidat Fehintola Olaniran

    (Department of Statistics and Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Pure and Applied Sciences, Kwara State University, Malete 1530, Nigeria
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Ali Rashash R. Alzahrani

    (Mathematics Department, Faculty of Sciences, Umm Al-Qura University, Makkah 24382, Saudi Arabia
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Nada MohammedSaeed Alharbi

    (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Taibah University, Al-Madinah Al-Munawara 42353, Saudi Arabia)

  • Asma Ahmad Alzahrani

    (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Al-Baha University, Al-Baha 65779, Saudi Arabia)

Abstract

The analysis of high-dimensional count data presents a unique set of challenges, including overdispersion, zero-inflation, and complex nonlinear relationships that traditional generalized linear models and standard machine learning approaches often fail to adequately address. This study introduces and validates a novel Random Forest framework specifically developed for high-dimensional Poisson and Negative Binomial regression, designed to overcome the limitations of existing methods. Through comprehensive simulations and a real-world genomic application to the Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort Study, we demonstrate that the proposed methods achieve superior predictive accuracy, quantified by lower root mean squared error and deviance, and critically produced exceptionally stable and interpretable feature selections. Our theoretical and empirical results show that these distribution-optimized ensembles significantly outperform both penalized-likelihood techniques and naive-transformation-based ensembles in balancing statistical robustness with biological interpretability. The study concludes that the proposed frameworks provide a crucial methodological advancement, offering a powerful and reliable tool for extracting meaningful insights from complex count data in fields ranging from genomics to public health.

Suggested Citation

  • Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran & Saidat Fehintola Olaniran & Ali Rashash R. Alzahrani & Nada MohammedSaeed Alharbi & Asma Ahmad Alzahrani, 2025. "Random Forest Adaptation for High-Dimensional Count Regression," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-32, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:13:y:2025:i:18:p:3041-:d:1754357
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