After-Use Trajectories of Peatlands Under Alternative Policy Pathways in Latvia

Peatlands cover approximately 10% (640,000 ha) of Latvia’s territory, of which about 51,000 ha is officially classified as degraded due to peat extraction and related activities. This study assesses the current status of peat extraction site recultivation in Latvia and evaluates future after-use requirements under contrasting policy pathways using a review of scientific literature, project reports, national statistics, and updated peat extraction licence records. A simple allocation model was applied to estimate recultivation trajectories for the nationally defined degraded peatland area under two scenarios: (i) a licence-expiry baseline scenario and (ii) an accelerated immediate-stop-peat-mining scenario. The results show that full recultivation would require average annual efforts of approximately 1500 ha yr −1 under the baseline scenario and around 2000 ha yr −1 under the accelerated scenario. Although European Union-funded projects and corporate initiatives have demonstrated the potential of rewetting, paludiculture, and renewable energy integration, only a limited number of sites have been officially recognised as fully recultivated or restored. Because ecological recovery of peatland functions may take decades, administrative closure alone does not guarantee climate or biodiversity benefits. A phased recultivation strategy linked to licence expiry and prioritising degraded and self-regenerating sites emerges as the most pragmatic pathway for Latvia, balancing European Union climate objectives, institutional capacity, and socio-economic constraints.