Comparative Performance Analysis of Heterogeneous Ensemble Learning Models for Multi-Satellite Fusion GNSS-IR Soil Moisture Retrieval

Given the complexity of near-surface soil moisture retrieval, a single machine learning algorithm often struggles to capture the intricate relationships among multiple features, resulting in limited generalization and robustness. To address this issue, this study proposes a multi-satellite fusion GNSS-IR soil moisture retrieval method based on heterogeneous ensemble machine learning models. Specifically, two heterogeneous ensemble learning strategies (Bagging and Stacking) are combined with three base learners, Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM), to construct eight ensemble GNSS-IR soil moisture retrieval models. The models are validated using data from GNSS stations P039, P041, and P043 within the Plate Boundary Observatory (PBO) network. Their retrieval performance is compared against that of individual machine learning models and a deep learning model (Multilayer Perceptron, MLP), enabling an optimized selection of algorithms and model architectures. Results show that the Stacking-based models significantly outperform those based on Bagging in terms of retrieval accuracy. Among them, the Stacking (BPNN-RF-SVM) model achieves the highest performance across all three stations, with R of 0.903, 0.904, and 0.917, respectively. These represent improvements of at least 2.2%, 2.8%, and 2.1% over the best-performing base models. Therefore, the Stacking (BPNN-RF-SVM) model is identified as the optimal retrieval model. This work aims to contribute to the development of high-accuracy, real-time monitoring methods for near-surface soil moisture.