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Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Force Analysis of Habitat Quality in the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration

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  • Jing Jing

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Remediation in Ecologically Fragile Regions, College of Environment and Resources, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541000, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Hong Jiang

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Remediation in Ecologically Fragile Regions, College of Environment and Resources, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541000, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Feili Wei

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Remediation in Ecologically Fragile Regions, College of Environment and Resources, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541000, China
    Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

  • Jiarui Xie

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Remediation in Ecologically Fragile Regions, College of Environment and Resources, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541000, China)

  • Ling Xie

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Remediation in Ecologically Fragile Regions, College of Environment and Resources, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541000, China)

  • Yu Jiang

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Remediation in Ecologically Fragile Regions, College of Environment and Resources, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541000, China)

  • Yanhong Jia

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Remediation in Ecologically Fragile Regions, College of Environment and Resources, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541000, China)

  • Zhantu Chen

    (Guangxi Key Laboratory of Environmental Processes and Remediation in Ecologically Fragile Regions, College of Environment and Resources, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541000, China)

Abstract

The ecological environment is crucial for human survival and development. As ecological issues become more pressing, studying the spatiotemporal evolution of ecological quality (EQ) and its driving mechanisms is vital for sustainable development. This study, based on MODIS data from 2000 to 2022 and the Google Earth Engine platform, constructs a remote sensing ecological index for the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration and analyzes its spatiotemporal evolution using Theil–Sen trend analysis, Hurst index (HI), and geographic detector. The results show the following: (1) From 2000 to 2010, EQ improved, particularly from 2005 to 2010, with a significant increase in areas of excellent and good quality due to national policies and climate improvements. From 2010 to 2015, EQ degraded, with a sharp reduction in areas of excellent quality, likely due to urban expansion and industrial pressures. After 2015, EQ rebounded with successful governance measures. (2) The HI analysis indicates that future changes will continue the past trend, especially in areas like southeastern Chongzuo and northwestern Fangchenggang, where governance efforts were effective. (3) EQ shows a positive spatial correlation, with high-quality areas in central Nanning and Fangchenggang, and low-quality areas in Nanning and Beihai. After 2015, both high–high and low–low clusters showed changes, likely due to ecological governance measures. (4) NDBSI (dryness) is the main driver of EQ changes ( q = 0.806), with significant impacts from NDVI (vegetation coverage), LST (heat), and WET (humidity). Urban expansion’s increase in impervious surfaces (NDBSI rise) and vegetation loss (NDVI decline) have a synergistic effect ( q = 0.856), significantly affecting EQ. Based on these findings, it is recommended to control construction land expansion, optimize land use structure, protect ecologically sensitive areas, and enhance climate adaptation strategies to ensure continuous improvement in EQ.

Suggested Citation

  • Jing Jing & Hong Jiang & Feili Wei & Jiarui Xie & Ling Xie & Yu Jiang & Yanhong Jia & Zhantu Chen, 2025. "Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Force Analysis of Habitat Quality in the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-20, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:14:y:2025:i:8:p:1556-:d:1712344
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