Land Use Change and Mangrove Restoration Modulate Heavy Metal Accumulation in Tropical Coastal Sediments: A Nearly Decade-Long Study from Hainan, China

Mangrove forests, vital coastal ecosystems that provide critical biodiversity habitats and carbon sequestration services, face increasing heavy metal pollution that threatens their ecological functions through bioaccumulation and toxicity to marine organisms. However, existing studies lack dynamic insights into temporal and spatial variations of heavy metals in mangrove sediments. This study systematically analyzed two mangrove reserves in Hainan Island, China (Hainan Dongzhaigang National Nature Reserve [DZG] and Hainan Qinglan Provincial Nature Reserve [QL]), by collecting sediment samples in 2014 and 2022, analyzing metals (Cr, Cu, Zn, As, Cd, and Pb) via ICP-MS, and applying the geo-accumulation index, potential ecological risk index, Markov transition matrix, and statistical analyses. Results showed that DZG exhibited rising Cu and Zn levels but declining Cr, As, Cd, and Pb, with Cd showing the most significant decrease (66.83%). In contrast, QL saw only a 42.7% reduction in Cd, while other heavy metals increased. Spatial heterogeneity linked higher concentrations to anthropogenic hotspots, DZG’s southeast (industrial/aquaculture inputs), and QL’s northwest (urban/industrial discharges). Although ecological risks were generally low, Cd in QL reached a moderate risk level (E Cd = 46.44, 40 ≤ E i < 80). The large-scale pond-to-mangrove conversion significantly increased vegetation cover, which enhanced sedimentation rates and exerted a “dilution effect” on sediment heavy metals. These findings underscore anthropogenic activities as the dominant driver of heavy metal contamination. We recommend (1) stringent wastewater control near QL, (2) enhanced shipping regulation, and (3) the establishment of mangrove buffers in heavy metal accumulation zones to improve ecological status.