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Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of Greece

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  • Georgios C. Spyropoulos

    (Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, GR-15784 Athens, Greece
    Laboratory of Soft Energy Applications & Environmental Protection, Mechanical Engineering Department, University of West Attica, 250 Thivon and P. Ralli Str., GR-12244 Athens, Greece)

  • Panagiotis T. Nastos

    (Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, GR-15784 Athens, Greece)

  • Konstantinos P. Moustris

    (Laboratory of Soft Energy Applications & Environmental Protection, Mechanical Engineering Department, University of West Attica, 250 Thivon and P. Ralli Str., GR-12244 Athens, Greece)

  • Konstantinos J. Chalvatzis

    (Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich Business School, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK)

Abstract

This study provides a thorough review and analysis of the evolution of the Greek vehicle fleet over the last ~30 years, which is next used for the generation of high granularity fleet projections, the assessment of associated air pollution and the estimation of relevant environmental benefits by 2030. The integrated methodology developed takes also into account vehicle clustering and the Brown’s Double Simple Exponential Smoothing technique that, together with the adoption of COPERT-based emission factors, allow for the estimation of the anticipated emissions in 2030. Expected 2030 emissions levels suggest a reduction across all pollutants compared to 2018, ranging from 3.7% for PM 10 to 54.5% for NMVOC (and 46% for CO, 14% for SO 2 , 28% for NO X and 21% for CO 2 ). We find that Greece is on track with national goals concerning the reduction of air pollution from the transportation sector, which designates the positive contribution anticipated by EVs and new, “greener” vehicles, and sets new challenges for the further improvement of the sector beyond the 2030 outlook.

Suggested Citation

  • Georgios C. Spyropoulos & Panagiotis T. Nastos & Konstantinos P. Moustris & Konstantinos J. Chalvatzis, 2022. "Transportation and Air Quality Perspectives and Projections in a Mediterranean Country, the Case of Greece," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-27, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:11:y:2022:i:2:p:152-:d:727749
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    Cited by:

    1. Konstantinos Kokkinos & Eftihia Nathanail, 2023. "A Fuzzy Cognitive Map and PESTEL-Based Approach to Mitigate CO 2 Urban Mobility: The Case of Larissa, Greece," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-30, August.
    2. Vladimir Shepelev & Alexandr Glushkov & Olga Fadina & Aleksandr Gritsenko, 2022. "Comparative Evaluation of Road Vehicle Emissions at Urban Intersections with Detailed Traffic Dynamics," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-19, May.

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