Financial Traits and Convertible Bond Motives: China’s Evidence

Convertible bond financing has gained significant traction in China’s capital market, yet it poses financial risks, particularly for highly leveraged firms. This study investigates how corporate financial traits influence the decision to issue convertible bonds, challenging the direct applicability of Western theoretical frameworks in China’s unique institutional context. We employ a natural experiment design, constructing a binary logistic regression model to analyze data from Chinese A-share listed companies that issued convertible bonds, corporate bonds, seasoned equity offerings, or rights offerings between 2022 and 2023. Our results reveal a paradox: contrary to risk-transfer theory, firms with lower leverage exhibit a stronger propensity to issue convertible bonds. Instead, motives are driven by high profitability, operational inefficiencies, and robust operating cash flow generation—traits that align with signaling and backdoor equity theories. The study identifies China’s convertible bond market as a dual-track system where regulatory screening distorts classical motives while market frictions amplify the role of convertible bonds in resolving information asymmetry. We conclude with targeted policy implications for regulators and corporate treasurers to enhance market efficiency and governance.