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Trends of the Prevalence of Pre-gestational Diabetes in 2030 and 2050 in Belgrade Cohort

Author

Listed:
  • Stefan Dugalic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Milos Petronijevic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Brankica Vasiljevic

    (Maternity and Child Health Service, NMC Royal Hospital DIP, Dubai Hospital, Dubai P.O. Box 7832, United Arab Emirates)

  • Jovana Todorovic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Institute of Social Medicine, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Dejana Stanisavljevic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Institute for Medical Statistics and Informatics, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Aleksandra Jotic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Ljiljana Lukic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Tanja Milicic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Nebojsa Lalić

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Katarina Lalic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Milica Stoiljkovic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Zorica Terzic-Supic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Institute of Social Medicine, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Tamara Stanisavljevic

    (Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Aleksandar Stefanovic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Katarina Stefanovic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Svetlana Vrzic-Petronijevic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Maja Macura

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Igor Pantic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Institute for Medical Physiology, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Pavle Piperac

    (Department for Humanities, University of Belgrade, Faculty of Medicine, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Marija Jovanovic

    (General Hospital Bor, 19210 Bor, Serbia)

  • Radmila Cerovic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Sinisa Djurasevic

    (Faculty of Biology, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Sandra Babic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Sonja Perkovic-Kepeci

    (General Hospital Pancevo, 26000 Pancevo, Serbia)

  • Miroslava Gojnic

    (Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

Abstract

The aim of this study was to analyze the trends in diabetes in pregnancy in Belgrade, Serbia for the period of the past decade and forecast the number of women with pre-gestational diabetes for the years 2030 and 2050. The study included the data on all pregnant women with diabetes from the registry of the deliveries in Belgrade, by the City Institute of Public Health of Belgrade, Serbia for the period between 2010 and 2020 and the published data on the deliveries on the territory of Belgrade. During the examined period the total number of live births in Belgrade was 196,987, and the prevalence of diabetes in pregnancy was 3.4%, with the total prevalence of pre-gestational diabetes of 0.7% and overall prevalence of GDM of 2.7%. The average age of women in our study was significantly lower in 2010 compared to 2020. The forecasted prevalence of pre-gestational diabetes among all pregnant women for 2030 is 2% and 4% for 2050 in our cohort. Our study showed that the prevalence of pre-gestational diabetes has increased both among all pregnant women and among women with diabetes in pregnancy in the past decade in Belgrade, Serbia and that it is expected to increase further in the next decades and to further double by 2050.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Dugalic & Milos Petronijevic & Brankica Vasiljevic & Jovana Todorovic & Dejana Stanisavljevic & Aleksandra Jotic & Ljiljana Lukic & Tanja Milicic & Nebojsa Lalić & Katarina Lalic & Milica Stoil, 2022. "Trends of the Prevalence of Pre-gestational Diabetes in 2030 and 2050 in Belgrade Cohort," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(11), pages 1-9, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:11:p:6517-:d:825394
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    as
    1. Miroslava Gojnic & Jovana Todorovic & Dejana Stanisavljevic & Aleksandra Jotic & Ljiljana Lukic & Tanja Milicic & Nebojsa Lalic & Katarina Lalic & Milica Stoiljkovic & Tamara Stanisavljevic & Aleksand, 2022. "Maternal and Fetal Outcomes among Pregnant Women with Diabetes," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(6), pages 1-9, March.
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