Author
Listed:
- Monica Borunda
(Secretaría de Ciencia, Humanidades, Tecnología e Innovación, Tecnológico Nacional de México, Centro Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico, Cuernavaca 62490, Mexico)
- Luis Conde-López
(Centro Nacional de Control de Energía, Gerencia de Control Regional Oriental, Heroica Puebla de Zaragoza 72307, Mexico)
- Gerardo Ruiz-Chavarría
(Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City 04510, Mexico)
- Guadalupe Lopez Lopez
(Centro Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico, Tecnológico Nacional de México (TecNM/CENIDET), Cuernavaca 62490, Mexico)
- Victor M. Alvarado
(Centro Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico, Tecnológico Nacional de México (TecNM/CENIDET), Cuernavaca 62490, Mexico)
- Edgardo de Jesús Carrera Avendaño
(Centro Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico, Tecnológico Nacional de México (TecNM/CENIDET), Cuernavaca 62490, Mexico)
Abstract
Short-term load forecasting is essential for the reliable, secure, efficient, and economic operation of modern power systems and electricity markets. Among many forecasting strategies, the similar day (SD) approach for short-term load forecasting was among the earliest used to assess power demand and remains one of the most intuitive and widely adopted techniques worldwide. However, over time, increasing system complexity, richer datasets, and advances in computational intelligence have led to the evolution of SD methodologies beyond heuristic-based rule formulations. This work presents a study of the relevant literature on short-term load forecasting using SD methods reported between 2000 and 2025. This study analyzes how similarity is defined, how forecasts are generated, and how both stages interact within the complete forecasting process in the reviewed literature. Based on these criteria, a unified taxonomy is proposed to classify SD methods into conventional, intelligent, and hybrid formulations. This study provides insight into the methodologies, their performance, and the systems in which they have been tested. The results show that SD-based approaches remain competitive for short-term forecasting and that incorporating artificial intelligence techniques can further enhance their accuracy.
Suggested Citation
Monica Borunda & Luis Conde-López & Gerardo Ruiz-Chavarría & Guadalupe Lopez Lopez & Victor M. Alvarado & Edgardo de Jesús Carrera Avendaño, 2026.
"Advances in Similar Day Methods for Short-Term Load Forecasting for Power Systems,"
Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-50, April.
Handle:
RePEc:gam:jforec:v:8:y:2026:i:2:p:32-:d:1917785
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