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AutoML-Based Prediction of Unconfined Compressive Strength of Stabilized Soils: A Multi-Dataset Evaluation on Worldwide Experimental Data

Author

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  • Romulo Murucci Oliveira

    (Computational Modeling Program, Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora 36036-900, MG, Brazil)

  • Deivid Campos

    (Computational Modeling Program, Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora 36036-900, MG, Brazil)

  • Katia Vanessa Bicalho

    (Civil Engineering Department, Tecnological Center, Federal University of Espirito Santo, Vitoria 36036-900, ES, Brazil)

  • Bruno da S. Macêdo

    (Systems Engineering and Automation Program, Federal University of Lavras, Lavras 37200-000, MG, Brazil
    Department of Computer Science, Federal University of Sao Joao del-Rei, Sao Joao del-Rei 36301-360, MG, Brazil)

  • Matteo Bodini

    (Dipartimento di Economia, Management e Metodi Quantitativi, Università degli Studi di Milano, Via Conservatorio 7, 20122 Milano, Italy)

  • Camila Martins Saporetti

    (Department of Computational Modeling, Polytechnic Institute, Rio de Janeiro State University, Nova Friburgo 22000-900, RJ, Brazil)

  • Leonardo Goliatt

    (Department of Computational and Applied Mechanics, Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora 36036-900, MG, Brazil)

Abstract

Unconfined Compressive Strength (UCS) of stabilized soils is commonly used for evaluating the effectiveness of soil improvement techniques. Achieving target UCS values through conventional trial-and-error approaches requires extensive laboratory experiments, which are time-consuming and resource-intensive. Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) frameworks offer a promising alternative by enabling automated, reproducible, and accessible predictive modeling of UCS values from more readily obtainable index and physical soil and stabilizer properties, reducing the reliance on experimental testing and empirical relationships, and allowing systematic exploration of multiple models and configurations. This study evaluates the predictive performance of five state-of-the-art AutoML frameworks (i.e., AutoGluon, AutoKeras, FLAML, H2O, and TPOT) using analyses of results from 10 experimental datasets comprising 2083 samples from laboratory experiments spanning diverse soil types, stabilizers, and experimental conditions across many countries worldwide. Comparative analyses revealed that FLAML achieved the highest overall performance (average PI score of 0.7848), whereas AutoKeras exhibited lower accuracy on complex datasets; AutoGluon , H2O and TPOT also demonstrated strong predictive capabilities, with performance varying with dataset characteristics. Despite the promising potential of AutoML, prior research has shown that fully automated frameworks have limited applicability to UCS prediction, highlighting a gap in end-to-end pipeline automation. The findings provide practical guidance for selecting AutoML tools based on dataset characteristics and research objectives, and suggest avenues for future studies, including expanding the range of AutoML frameworks and integrating interpretability techniques, such as feature importance analysis, to deepen understanding of soil–stabilizer interactions. Overall, the results indicate that AutoML frameworks can effectively accelerate UCS prediction, reduce laboratory workload, and support data-driven decision-making in geotechnical engineering.

Suggested Citation

  • Romulo Murucci Oliveira & Deivid Campos & Katia Vanessa Bicalho & Bruno da S. Macêdo & Matteo Bodini & Camila Martins Saporetti & Leonardo Goliatt, 2025. "AutoML-Based Prediction of Unconfined Compressive Strength of Stabilized Soils: A Multi-Dataset Evaluation on Worldwide Experimental Data," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-48, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jforec:v:7:y:2025:i:4:p:80-:d:1821057
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