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A Physics-Constrained Super-Resolution Framework for Wind Resource Mapping: Application to Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • José Péricles Freire

    (Department of Nuclear Engineering, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Antonio Carlos 6627, Belo Horizonte 31270-901, Brazil)

  • Lihki Rubio

    (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Universidad del Norte, Km. 5 Vía Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla 080001, Colombia)

  • Jin Yang

    (James Watt School of Engineering, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK)

  • Carlos E. Velasquez

    (Department of Nuclear Engineering, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Antonio Carlos 6627, Belo Horizonte 31270-901, Brazil)

Abstract

High-resolution wind resource maps are essential for wind farm siting and renewable-energy planning, but national-scale assessment is often limited by sparse meteorological stations and the coarse resolution of reanalysis products. This study introduces a self-supervised Physics-Constrained Super-Resolution CNN (PC-SRCNN) that enhances ERA5 wind fields from 0.25° to 0.025°, for settings lacking a high-resolution, hourly-resolved reference wind field, by embedding kinematic and vertical-profile consistency as soft regularization penalties, without solving the full Navier-Stokes momentum balance. The framework was evaluated against 190 independent INMET stations, alongside interpolation, data-driven, and climatological baselines, using a station-wise bootstrap and the Diebold-Mariano test. The full model reduced the bootstrap MAE from 1.22 to 1.04 m/s relative to native ERA5, a 14.85% improvement confirmed by both tests, and achieved a vertical-profile R 2 of 0.90 against baselines below 0.70. Ablation shows physical regularization is not automatically beneficial: a variant constrained only by horizontal kinematics performed significantly worse than ERA5, with gains obtained only when vertical logarithmic-profile consistency was included. All other baselines evaluated were statistically indistinguishable from native ERA5 against station observations. These results indicate that sharper spatial detail alone is insufficient to improve wind-resource estimates unless supported by physically meaningful, vertically consistent constraints.

Suggested Citation

  • José Péricles Freire & Lihki Rubio & Jin Yang & Carlos E. Velasquez, 2026. "A Physics-Constrained Super-Resolution Framework for Wind Resource Mapping: Application to Brazil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-33, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:19:y:2026:i:16:p:3722-:d:2010880
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