IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v18y2025i19p5268-d1764704.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Has the “Belt and Road Initiative” Promoted Chinese OFDI in Green Energy? Evidence from Chinese Energy Engagement in BRI Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Yuli Liu

    (School of Business, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China
    Institute of Belt and Road, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China)

  • Min Xu

    (School of Business, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China)

  • Yu Huang

    (State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China)

  • Ningning Fu

    (Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China)

Abstract

The advancement of green energy is a crucial mechanism for balancing economic growth with environmental sustainability, helping to mitigate conflicts between development and ecological preservation. This paper assesses the policy effects of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on China’s overseas green energy projects (including gas) using the difference-in-difference (DID) model from 2009 to 2022. The findings show that, overall, the BRI has notably augmented China’s green energy projects in the BRI countries. This result remains robust after excluding potential interference from Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Specifically, its promotional effect shows heterogeneity. Firstly, the BRI has shown significant regional differences in promoting the development of China’s overseas green energy projects. Secondly, the BRI is more effective in promoting green energy projects in developing and low-risk countries compared to developed and high-risk countries. Additionally, it indicates that the BRI boosts green energy projects in BRI countries by enhancing their infrastructure quality, encompassing transportation, energy, communication, and financial infrastructure. Finally, based on the above findings, this paper provides context-specific recommendations aimed at enhancing the effectiveness of the BRI in promoting sustainable green energy cooperation.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuli Liu & Min Xu & Yu Huang & Ningning Fu, 2025. "Has the “Belt and Road Initiative” Promoted Chinese OFDI in Green Energy? Evidence from Chinese Energy Engagement in BRI Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(19), pages 1-24, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:18:y:2025:i:19:p:5268-:d:1764704
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/19/5268/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/19/5268/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhao, Jinjing & Pan, Jie & Xie, Xiangwei & Su, Miao, 2024. "Green outward foreign direct investment and host country environmental effects: The home country's carbon emission reduction system is crucial," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    2. Asiedu, Elizabeth, 2002. "On the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment to Developing Countries: Is Africa Different?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 107-119, January.
    3. Dave Donaldson, 2018. "Railroads of the Raj: Estimating the Impact of Transportation Infrastructure," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(4-5), pages 899-934, April.
    4. Cheng, Si & Wang, Banban, 2023. "Impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on China's overseas renewable energy development finance: Effects and features," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1036-1048.
    5. Sheppard, Eric, 2016. "Limits to Globalization: The Disruptive Geographies of Capitalist Development," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199681167.
    6. Liu, Haiyue & Wang, Yile & Jiang, Jie & Wu, Peng, 2020. "How green is the “Belt and Road Initiative”? – Evidence from Chinese OFDI in the energy sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    7. Wang, Jiangquan & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Song, Malin, 2021. "Evaluating energy economic security and its influencing factors in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    8. Ho, Chun-Yu & Narins, Thomas P. & Sung, Won, 2023. "Developing information and communication technology with the belt and road initiative and the digital silk road," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(10).
    9. Wang, Yonglong & Xu, Aidi, 2023. "Green investments and development of renewable energy projects: Evidence from 15 RCEP member countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 1045-1050.
    10. Luo, Yadong & Xue, Qiuzhi & Han, Binjie, 2010. "How emerging market governments promote outward FDI: Experience from China," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 68-79, January.
    11. Bill Hopwood & Mary Mellor & Geoff O'Brien, 2005. "Sustainable development: mapping different approaches," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(1), pages 38-52.
    12. Donaubauer, Julian & Meyer, Birgit & Nunnenkamp, Peter, 2016. "Aid, Infrastructure, and FDI: Assessing the Transmission Channel with a New Index of Infrastructure," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 230-245.
    13. Huang, Youxing & Yang, Yu, 2023. "Determinants of Chinese energy OFDI location decisions and entry failure risk: The roles of public diplomacy endeavors and firm investment strategies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    14. Stram, Bruce N., 2016. "Key challenges to expanding renewable energy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 728-734.
    15. Guido W. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2009. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 5-86, March.
    16. Huang, Yiping, 2016. "Understanding China's Belt & Road Initiative: Motivation, framework and assessment," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 314-321.
    17. Zhao, Ning & You, Fengqi, 2020. "Can renewable generation, energy storage and energy efficient technologies enable carbon neutral energy transition?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    18. Razzaq, Asif & An, Hui & Delpachitra, Sarath, 2021. "Does technology gap increase FDI spillovers on productivity growth? Evidence from Chinese outward FDI in Belt and Road host countries," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    19. Rao, Amar & Lucey, Brian & Kumar, Satish & Lim, Weng Marc, 2023. "Do green energy markets catch cold when conventional energy markets sneeze?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    20. Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Xia, Xiqiang & Du, Anna Min & Özkan, Oktay, 2025. "Digital financial inclusion, the belt and road initiative, and the Paris agreement: Impacts on energy transition grid costs," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    21. Chen, Hong & Gangopadhyay, Partha & Singh, Baljeet & Chen, Kairan, 2023. "What motivates Chinese multinational firms to invest in Asia? Poor institutions versus rich infrastructures of a host country," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    22. Yan Wu & Chunlai Chen & Cong Hu, 2021. "Does the Belt and Road Initiative Increase the Carbon Emission Intensity of Participating Countries?," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(3), pages 1-25, May.
    23. Kumar Singh, Bhupendra, 2013. "South Asia energy security: Challenges and opportunities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 458-468.
    24. Christian Bellak & Markus Leibrecht & Jože P. Damijan, 2009. "Infrastructure Endowment and Corporate Income Taxes as Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Central and Eastern European Countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 267-290, February.
    25. Li, Jingpeng & Umar, Muhammad & Huo, Jiale, 2023. "The spillover effect between Chinese crude oil futures market and Chinese green energy stock market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    26. Su, Chi-Wei & Pang, Li-Dong & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "The spillover effects among fossil fuel, renewables and carbon markets: Evidence under the dual dilemma of climate change and energy crises," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    27. Muhammad, Sulaman & Long, Xingle & Salman, Muhammad & Dauda, Lamini, 2020. "Effect of urbanization and international trade on CO2 emissions across 65 belt and road initiative countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    28. Callaway, Brantly & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C., 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 200-230.
    29. Yang, Gaoju & Huang, Xianhai & Huang, Jiahui & Chen, Hangyu, 2020. "Assessment of the effects of infrastructure investment under the belt and road initiative," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    30. Joshua D. Angrist & Jörn-Steffen Pischke, 2009. "Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 8769.
    31. Peng, Hua-Rong & Tan, Xiujie & Managi, Shunsuke & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2022. "Club convergence in energy efficiency of Belt and Road Initiative countries: The role of China’s outward foreign direct investment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    32. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Topcu, Betül Altay & Sarıgül, Sevgi Sümerli & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The effect of financial development on renewable energy demand: The case of developing countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1370-1380.
    33. Cheng, Leonard K. & Kwan, Yum K., 2000. "What are the determinants of the location of foreign direct investment? The Chinese experience," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 379-400, August.
    34. Midilli, Adnan & Dincer, Ibrahim & Ay, Murat, 2006. "Green energy strategies for sustainable development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(18), pages 3623-3633, December.
    35. Li, Bo & Han, Yukai & Wang, Chensheng & Sun, Wei, 2022. "Did civilized city policy improve energy efficiency of resource-based cities? Prefecture-level evidence from China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    36. Du, Julan & Zhang, Yifei, 2018. "Does One Belt One Road initiative promote Chinese overseas direct investment?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 189-205.
    37. Zhang, Dongyang & Kong, Qunxi, 2022. "Green energy transition and sustainable development of energy firms: An assessment of renewable energy policy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    38. Carl-Friedrich Schleussner & Joeri Rogelj & Michiel Schaeffer & Tabea Lissner & Rachel Licker & Erich M. Fischer & Reto Knutti & Anders Levermann & Katja Frieler & William Hare, 2016. "Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(9), pages 827-835, September.
    39. Hasan, Kazi Nazmul & Preece, Robin & Milanović, Jovica V., 2019. "Existing approaches and trends in uncertainty modelling and probabilistic stability analysis of power systems with renewable generation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 168-180.
    40. Kinda, Tidiane, 2010. "Investment Climate and FDI in Developing Countries: Firm-Level Evidence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 498-513, April.
    41. Khan, Irfan & Zakari, Abdulrasheed & Zhang, Jinjun & Dagar, Vishal & Singh, Sanjeet, 2022. "A study of trilemma energy balance, clean energy transitions, and economic expansion in the midst of environmental sustainability: New insights from three trilemma leadership," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    42. Zeng, Jingjing & Bao, Rui & McFarland, Michael, 2022. "Clean energy substitution: The effect of transitioning from coal to gas on air pollution," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    43. Qin, Yong & Xu, Zeshui & Wang, Xinxin & Škare, Marinko, 2023. "The effects of financial institutions on the green energy transition: A cross-sectional panel study," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 524-542.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Todo, Yasuyuki & Nishitateno, Shuhei & Brown, Sean, 2025. "The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on foreign direct investment from China, the United States, and major investor countries," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Lili Kang & Fei Peng & Yu Zhu & An Pan, 2018. "Harmony in Diversity: Can the One Belt One Road Initiative Promote China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-28, September.
    3. Maria Borga & Perla Ibarlucea Flores & Monika Sztajerowska, 2020. "Drivers of divestment decisions of multinational enterprises - A cross-country firm-level perspective," OECD Working Papers on International Investment 2019/03, OECD Publishing.
    4. Yu, Shu & Qian, Xingwang & Liu, Taoxiong, 2019. "Belt and road initiative and Chinese firms' outward foreign direct investment," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    5. Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C. & Zhao, Jun, 2020. "Doubly robust difference-in-differences estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 101-122.
    6. Wang, Lisha & Pan, Minjie & Qian, Xinlei & Lv, Kangjuan, 2025. "Do specialized courts matter? Environmental judiciary and corporate emissions in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    7. Zhang, Zhuo & Zhao, Yongliang & Cai, Haiya & Ajaz, Tahseen, 2023. "Influence of renewable energy infrastructure, Chinese outward FDI, and technical efficiency on ecological sustainability in belt and road node economies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 608-616.
    8. Eric Evans Osei Opoku & Alex O. Acheampong & Janet Dzator & Nana Kwabena Kufuor, 2022. "Does environmental sustainability attract foreign investment? Evidence from developing countries," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(7), pages 3542-3573, November.
    9. Chai, Li & Wang, Yuqi & Qi, Xiaohong, 2024. "Cross-category connectedness between Shanghai crude oil futures and Chinese stock markets related to the Belt and Road Initiative," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    10. Tong, Tong & Chen, Xiaoyue & Singh, Tarlok & Li, Bin, 2022. "Corporate governance and the outward foreign direct investment: Firm-level evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 962-980.
    11. Victor, Kidake, 2018. "Infrastructure and Foreign Direct Investment in Kenya: A Time Series Analysis 1980-2015," MPRA Paper 98014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Joanna Wolszczak-Derlacz & Yuxin Lu, 2022. "The role of the One-Belt One-Road initiative in China’s exports and global value chains," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 17(2), pages 317-341, June.
    13. Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham & Peter Hull & Michal Kolesár, 2024. "Contamination Bias in Linear Regressions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(12), pages 4015-4051, December.
    14. Wasseem Mina & Louis Jaeck, 2015. "Labor Market Flexibility and FDI Flows: Evidence from Oil-Rich GCC and Middle Income Countries," International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU paper1501, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University.
    15. Giulia Bettin & Isabella Giorgetti & Stefano Staffolani, 2024. "The impact of Covid-19 lockdown on the gender gap in the Italian labour market," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-33, March.
    16. Jackson, Karen & Shepotylo, Oleksandr, 2021. "Belt and road: The China dream?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    17. Tamara Bischof & Boris Kaiser, 2021. "Who cares when you close down? The effects of primary care practice closures on patients," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(9), pages 2004-2025, September.
    18. Mingchun Cao & Ilan Alon, 2020. "Intellectual Structure of the Belt and Road Initiative Research: A Scientometric Analysis and Suggestions for a Future Research Agenda," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-40, August.
    19. Shuhong Peng & Jing Qian & Xiuwei Xing & Jing Wang & Aliya Adeli & Shujie Wei, 2025. "Technological Cooperation for Sustainable Development Under the Belt and Road Initiative and the Sustainable Development Goals: Opportunities and Challenges," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-27, January.
    20. Benfratello, Luigi & D’Ambrosio, Anna & Sangrigoli, Alida, 2023. "Foreign Direct Investments in Africa: Are Chinese investors different?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 155(PA).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:18:y:2025:i:19:p:5268-:d:1764704. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.