IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecnmx/v13y2025i4p42-d1782811.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Counterfactual Duration Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Miguel A. Delgado

    (Department of Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, 28903 Madrid, Spain)

  • Andrés García-Suaza

    (School of Economics, Universidad del Rosario, Bogota 111711, Colombia)

Abstract

This article introduces new counterfactual standardization techniques for comparing duration distributions subject to random censoring through counterfactual decompositions. The counterfactual distribution of one population relative to another is computed after estimating the conditional distribution, using either a semiparametric or a nonparametric specification. We consider both the semiparametric proportional hazard model and a fully nonparametric partition-based estimator. The finite-sample performance of the proposed methods is evaluated through Monte Carlo experiments. We also illustrate the methodology with an application to unemployment duration in Spain during the period between 2004 and 2007, focusing on gender differences. The results indicate that observable characteristics account for only a small portion of the observed gap.

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel A. Delgado & Andrés García-Suaza, 2025. "Counterfactual Duration Analysis," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-20, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecnmx:v:13:y:2025:i:4:p:42-:d:1782811
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/13/4/42/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/13/4/42/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecnmx:v:13:y:2025:i:4:p:42-:d:1782811. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.