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Model for the Dynamic Evaluation of the Grey Imports Volume and Structure

Author

Listed:
  • Evgeny G. Anisimov

    (Research Institute of the General Staff Military Academy of the Russian Federation ?s Armed Forces)

  • Vladimir G. Anisimov

    (Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic Universit, Russia)

  • Sergey V. Shkodinsky

    (State Research Institute for System Analysis of the Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation)

Abstract

The article describes the stochastic model for the dynamic evaluation of the grey imports volume and structure, which imitates the processes of its formation. This simulation allows to take into account available information about the grey imports and thereby improves the accuracy of its volume and structure estimation in more objective way than the common regression and expert models do.

Suggested Citation

  • Evgeny G. Anisimov & Vladimir G. Anisimov & Sergey V. Shkodinsky, 2016. "Model for the Dynamic Evaluation of the Grey Imports Volume and Structure," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 1, pages 110-116, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:fru:finjrn:160111:p:110-116
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    customs duties; grey imports; volume; structure; model; dynamic evaluation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E26 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Informal Economy; Underground Economy

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