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Analysis of Asymmetric Relationship Between Tourism Revenues and Real Exchange Rate

Author

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  • Mustafa Caner TÄ°MUR
  • Nilcan MERT

Abstract

Tourism is one of the most important sectors of today's modern world. Countries prepare various incentives and regulations in order to increase their share in tourism revenues. In addition to all these incentives, some data on the structural issues of the country affect tourism revenues. This study analyzes the asymmetrical relationship between the real exchange rate and tourism revenues for the Turkey. 2003: Q1-2020: Q1 has been investigated for periods. According to the non-linear ARDL analysis results, between the exchange rate and tourism revenues an asymmetric relationship in the long run and a symmetric relationship in the short run has been determined. Accordingly, a positive shock in the exchange rate increases tourism revenues by approximately 0.6%, while a negative shock increases tourism revenues by approximately 0.3%.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustafa Caner TÄ°MUR & Nilcan MERT, 2021. "Analysis of Asymmetric Relationship Between Tourism Revenues and Real Exchange Rate," Fiscaoeconomia, Tubitak Ulakbim JournalPark (Dergipark), issue 1.
    • Handle: RePEc:fis:journl:210112
    DOI: 10.25295/fsecon.848247
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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

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