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Why Housing Has Been So Strong, but Might Not Be for Long

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Abstract

The current monetary policy tightening cycle has seen the fastest increases in the fed funds rate in more than 40 years. While not all tightening cycles have led to significant increases in mortgage rates (e.g., the 1988, 2016, and 2004 cycles), this time around mortgage rates have increased by close to 400 basis points (bps) in the first seven months since lift off (see figure A1 in the appendix). In this Chicago Fed Letter, we describe how this increase has shaped (and is still shaping) the dynamics of the housing sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Gene Amromin & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Marcelo Veracierto, 2023. "Why Housing Has Been So Strong, but Might Not Be for Long," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 0, pages 1-7, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhle:97418
    DOI: 10.21033/cfl-2023-485
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    Keywords

    Housing Starts; Home sales; construction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L74 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Construction
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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