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The impact of the pandemic and the Fed’s muni program on Illinois muni yields

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Abstract

We estimate a simple model in which variations in Illinois daily municipal bond yields are explained by high-frequency indicators summarizing economic and public health conditions in Illinois, as well as key changes in the Federal Reserve’s Municipal Liquidity Facility (or MLF). We find that the MLF appears to have reduced Illinois muni yields by more than 200 basis points.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Bernhardt & Stefania D'Amico & Santiago I. Sordo Palacios, 2020. "The impact of the pandemic and the Fed’s muni program on Illinois muni yields," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 449, pages 1-7, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhle:92322
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Municipal bonds; Illinois budget; municipal liquidity facility; state and local borrowing; central banks and their policies; asset pricing; trading volume; bond interest rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • H74 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Borrowing

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