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Are Inflation Expectations Currently Well Anchored?

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Listed:
  • Taerin Kim
  • Mauricio Ulate

Abstract

The response of market-based long-run inflation expectations to monetary policy is one measure of the perceived credibility of the central bank’s inflation target—its “nominal anchor.” The strength of the nominal anchor in the United States has varied over time between 1999 and 2026, with the post-2022 trajectory suggesting an increasingly strong anchor. This channel may support monetary policy in returning inflation to its 2% target.

Suggested Citation

  • Taerin Kim & Mauricio Ulate, 2026. "Are Inflation Expectations Currently Well Anchored?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2026(32), pages 1-6, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:104043
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