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Assessing the Economic Impacts of Climate Change

Author

Listed:
  • Francesco Bosello

    (FEEM, University of Milan, CMCC)

  • Fabio Eboli

    (FEEM, CMCC)

  • Roberta Pierfederici

    (FEEM, CMCC)

Abstract

The present research describes a climate change integrated impact assessment exercise, whose economic evaluation is based on a CGE approach and modeling effort. Estimates indicate that a temperature increase of 1.92°C compared to pre-industrial levels in 2050 (consistent with the A1B IPCC SRES scenario) could lead to global GDP losses of approximately 0.5% compared to a hypothetical scenario where no climate change is assumed to occur. Northern Europe is expected to slightly benefit (+0.18%), while Southern and Eastern Europe are expected to suffer from the climate change scenario under analysis (-0.15% and -0.21% respectively). Most vulnerable countries are the less developed regions, such as South Asia, South-East Asia, North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Bosello & Fabio Eboli & Roberta Pierfederici, 2012. "Assessing the Economic Impacts of Climate Change," Review of Environment, Energy and Economics - Re3, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:fem:femre3:2012.02-03
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Computable General Equilibrium Modeling; Impact Assessment; Climate Change;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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