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China’s Equilibrium Exchange Rate Dynamics 1994–2004: A Cointegration Analysis

Author

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  • Jingtao Yi

    (School of Business, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

Abstract

Motivated by the global debate on the possible revaluation of the Chinese currency, the RMB, in recent years, the objective of this paper is to measure the equilibrium value of the RMB exchange rate through the macroeconomic balance approach in order to produce an assessment of the RMB in terms of periods of misalignment. The empirical evidence indicates that although there turns out to be an increasing degree of the RMB undervaluation in these measures from 2003 to 2004, the RMB is not substantially undervalued in both measures of real effective exchange rates and nominal bilateral exchange rates against the US dollar over the full period 1994–2004.

Suggested Citation

  • Jingtao Yi, 2010. "China’s Equilibrium Exchange Rate Dynamics 1994–2004: A Cointegration Analysis," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, vol. 5(3), pages 375-392, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:fec:journl:v:5:y:2010:i:3:p:375-392
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    File URL: http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/10.1007/s11459-010-0103-3
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    Cited by:

    1. Yin-Wong Cheung & Shi He, 2019. "Truths and Myths About RMB Misalignment: A Meta-analysis," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(3), pages 464-492, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    equilibrium exchange rate; foreign exchange; Chinese Renminbi; macroeconomic balance; cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

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