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China¡¯s Growth Prospects

Author

Listed:
  • Robert Barro

    (Department of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA)

Abstract

China¡¯s diminished growth prospects are in the news and seem to spell bad news for just about everybody. This article assesses the evidence, arguing that China¡¯s economic growth will be much slower from now on, reducing international trade. Perhaps the biggest challenge for China will be future political tensions in reconciling economic dreams with economic realities.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Barro, 2016. "China¡¯s Growth Prospects," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, vol. 11(2), pages 192-195, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:fec:journl:v:11:y:2016:i:2:p:192-195
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    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/10.3868/s060-005-016-0012-9
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    Cited by:

    1. Che, Yi & Xu, Xun & Zhang, Yan, 2018. "Chinese import competition, crime, and government transfers in US," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 544-567.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic growth; longterm; China; forecast; middle income; convergence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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