IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fan/steste/vhtml10.3280-ste2008-094003.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Previsioni demografiche e sostenibilità della spesa pensionistica in Italia

Author

Listed:
  • Aldo Barba

Abstract

Demographic Forecasts and Sustainability of the Italian Pension Expenditure - This article discusses the effects that changes in the age structure of the Italian population could exert on the sustainability of public pension provision. After discussing the poor performance of demographic forecasts, we discuss increases in fertility and immigration flows as alternative ways to contrast the impending ageing of the population. We then examine the constraints that a shrinking labour force may exert on the level of employment, taking into account the presence of massive disguised unemployment. The paper maintains that in the medium and long term the demographic scenario has to be considered as not exogenous with respect to the economic stance. In this connection, expected aggregate demand and income distribution changes are considered of crucial importance.

Suggested Citation

  • Aldo Barba, 2008. "Previsioni demografiche e sostenibilità della spesa pensionistica in Italia," STUDI ECONOMICI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2008(94), pages 65-93.
  • Handle: RePEc:fan:steste:v:html10.3280/ste2008-094003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.francoangeli.it/riviste/Scheda_Rivista.aspx?IDArticolo=34807&Tipo=ArticoloPDF
    Download Restriction: Single articles can be downloaded buying download credits, for info: http://www.francoangeli.it/riviste/inglese_download_credit.asp

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fan:steste:v:html10.3280/ste2008-094003. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Angelo Ventriglia). General contact details of provider: http://www.francoangeli.it/riviste/sommario.asp?IDRivista=59 .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.