Modeling of import-substituting development of the industry based on the economic cross method

The practice of countering sanctions in Russia in 2014-2021 and the sanctions crisis of February-April 2020 showed that ensuring the economic security of the country on the basis of import substitution is impossible without the formation of integral continuous food chains. Between 2014 and 2021, the country successfully managed to form its own manufacturer in such critical sectors of its economy as agriculture, software manufacturing, production of means of production, and production of its own equipment for export industries, including oil and gas production. At the same time, the dependence of the respective manufacturers on foreign components, foreign labor and foreign services remains a significant problem. For a number of sectors of the domestic economy, including the aircraft industry and the automotive industry, dependence on intermediate links in supply chains controlled by a foreign manufacturer remained critical at the beginning of 2022, which gave grounds to start a discussion at the level of the country's leadership about the inevitability of taking extraordinary measures to preserve industry in the medium term. Projects are being discussed regarding the resumption of production of domestic models and components using obsolete technologies, including Soviet technologies. So, in relation to the automotive industry, the expediency of resuming the production of E0 class engines is being discussed. At the same time, in the long term, effective import substitution is impossible without complex modeling of the industry architecture based on the use of innovative technologies. The purpose of this work is to adapt the previously proposed by the authors methodology of the "Economic Cross" in relation to the current needs of the sectoral import substitution. The key aspects that require monitoring by the organizer of import substitution at the industry level and possible directions for identifying and involving the intellectual resource of the development of the Russian economy in the process of import substitution using the proposed method of economic planning and forecasting are identified.