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México. Costos económicos del cierre de las actividades “no esenciales” por la pandemia Covid-19. Análisis multisectorial y regional con modelos SAM

Author

Listed:
  • Alejandro Dávila Flores

    (Universidad Autónoma de Coahuila.)

  • Miriam Valdés Ibarra

    (Universidad Autónoma de Coahuila.)

Abstract

Se utilizan modelos multisectoriales, construidos con matrices de contabilidad social, para evaluar los impactos económicos del cierre de las actividades “no esenciales” decretados por el Gobierno Fe-deral para combatir la pandemia causada por el Covid-19. Las repercusiones de estas medidas son analizadas desde una perspectiva sectorial y espacial. En el primer caso, los modelos tienen una apertura de 33 actividades productivas, y cuatro agentes institucionales (Empresas, Hogares, Gobierno y Sector Externo). Los hogares se desagregan en 10 grupos, diferenciados por sus niveles de ingreso. En el segundo aspecto, se analizan los impactos para la economía nacional en su conjunto, en siete mesoregiones que abarcan la totalidad del territorio nacional y en cada una de sus 32 entidades fe-derativas. Se consideran los efectos del paro total o parcial de las actividades “no esenciales” sobre los niveles de producción bruta, producto interno bruto, ingreso disponible de los hogares y el consumo privado de origen doméstico.

Suggested Citation

  • Alejandro Dávila Flores & Miriam Valdés Ibarra, 2020. "México. Costos económicos del cierre de las actividades “no esenciales” por la pandemia Covid-19. Análisis multisectorial y regional con modelos SAM," Economía: teoría y práctica, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, México, vol. 0(2), pages 15-44, Diciembre.
    • Handle: RePEc:ety:journl:v:especial2020:y:2020:i:2:p:15-44
    DOI: 10.24275/ETYPUAM/NE/E052020/Davila
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Modelos ampliados de insumo-producto; matriz de contabilidad social; modelos eco-nométricos y de insumo-producto; otros modelos.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • E16 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Social Accounting Matrix
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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