Author
Listed:
- Shaik Nowjiya
- Meenakshi K A
Abstract
Stock market prediction is a challenging task due to the highly volatile, nonlinear, and dynamic nature of financial markets. This work proposes a hybrid intelligent framework that integrates technical indicators, reinforcement learning–based sentiment analysis, and deep learning models to enhance stock price forecasting accuracy. The system begins with dataset preprocessing and quality validation, followed by the extraction of technical indicators such as Simple Moving Average (SMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) from the NIFTY-50 dataset. In addition, market sentiment information is extracted and classified using an Off-Policy Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) based sentiment model combined with deep learning features. The sentiment classification results demonstrate strong performance, achieving 92.4% accuracy, 93.4% F1-score, and a G-Mean of 0.908, outperforming baseline models such as BiLSTM (88.1% accuracy) and BERT+CNN (86.3% accuracy). The reinforcement learning training process shows stable convergence, where the average reward increases from –0.18 to approximately 0.90, indicating effective policy learning. For stock price prediction, a Transductive Long Short-Term Memory (TLSTM) model is employed to capture long-term temporal dependencies in financial time series. Experimental results show that the TLSTM model achieves RMSE = 0.045, MAPE = 2.14%, and MAE = 0.031, outperforming traditional models such as ARIMA (RMSE = 0.082), SVM (RMSE = 0.069), and BiLSTM (RMSE = 0.064). The proposed framework also demonstrates significant improvements compared to baseline methods, achieving 22.41% reduction in RMSE, 15.08% reduction in MAPE, and 20.51% reduction in MAE. Statistical significance analysis further confirms the robustness of the proposed approach with p-values below 0.05 when compared with several baseline models.
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:etm:ijsrst:v13:y2026:i2:id:1436. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Pankaj Sharma (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ijsrst.com/home .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through
the various RePEc services.